It seems clear that the July jobs data was an important turning point. The two dovish governor dissents from the FOMC's decision to standpat, citing not economic strength like the White House, but recognizing the weakness in the labor market, were not outliers as much as the proverbial canaries in a coal mine. The market had recognized the strong chance of a rate cut next month and at least two before the end of the year before President Trump indicated he would nominate Stephen Morin to complete Kruger's term on the Federal Reserve Board. The dollar's counter-trend rally in July ended as well. Follow-through selling ... (full story)