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ETH chart divergence flashes warning while onchain metric predicts rally to $4.5K
Ether has traded just below the $4,000 resistance since December, 2025 and traders are uncertain whether it will be crossed any time soon. Despite the difficulty in overcoming $4,000, one key target for bulls lies at the +1σ active realized price band, currently hovering near $4,500. The metric tracks the average ETH cost, actively changing hands on the network. Data from Glassnode indicated that this level acted as a ceiling during the March 2024 high and the 2020–21 cycle. A sustained breakout above this line has previously triggered rapid upward momentum, but also carries the risk of overheating and ... (full story)