CAD/CHF

Today, the United States administration announced its intention to impose a new 50% tariff on a significant number of Canadian goods. This is the latest in a series of unilateral U.S. trade actions that began with the U.S. imposing a series of tariffs in direct violation of the Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA), the free trade agreement between ...

We’re back to reading tea leaves! Hooray! Next week the Federal Reserve will have its second meeting since Kevin Warsh officially took the helm. And, at this point, the outcome is far from certain, which is unusual given that ever since Ben Bernanke instituted “forward guidance” the market usually knew what to expect. Warsh does not think “forward guidance” ...

F/m Investments’ Washington, D.C., office is just a short drive from the Federal Reserve’s headquarters. But under the central bank’s new leadership, CEO Alexander Morris has found the distance feeling far greater. Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh embarked on an overhaul of the central bank’s forward-looking communication since taking the post in May. That move ...

Over the past several years, Wall Street and Washington, D.C., have grown used to being able to reliably predict what the Federal Reserve would do at its interest-rate meeting, weeks before the gathering took place. But now we're in a new era. Instead of guiding the market toward the likely outcome of the upcoming meeting, the new Fed chair, Kevin Warsh, ...

This is an unusual time for markets, with a reasonable debate for both sides on whether the next move by central banks will be to hike or cut interest rates. Certainly, markets are leaning to at least one hike by the Fed and perhaps half of one by the Bank of Canada by the end of 2026, but there’s not much conviction. All it would take to wash away those ...

Markets are pricing in at least one more interest-rate increase from the U.S. Federal Reserve this year following hotter inflation data and a more hawkish tone from policymakers. Consumer prices rose 3.5% in the year through June, less than markets expected and a slowdown from 4.2% in May, which was the highest annual increase in three years. Meanwhile, new ...

Kevin Warsh is a man of catchphrases: task force, first principles, a good family fight. Catchphrases can be useful if we all attach the same meaning to them. Two days of hearings before Congress this week clarified that when Warsh commits to “price stability,” he attaches a different meaning to it than the rest of the Fed does. When I read “the Committee ...

On Monday, in a speech at the New York Association for Business Economics, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller discussed the U.S. economic outlook and the implications for “monetary policy at a crossroads.” His remarks were more hawkish than many observers expected. Indeed, he’s the first voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to ...

BoC's Gov. Macklem: The Canadian dollar weakness has not been a major factor in rate decisions. BoC's Gov. Macklem: I would not want to respond to a spike in inflation caused by rising oil prices that then came down.

WARSH SAYS INTEREST RATES SHOULD BE THE MAIN FOCUS OF MONETARY POLICY. WARSH WANTS POLICY CHOICES TO INFLUENCE BALANCE SHEET MANAGEMENT. Fed's Chair Warsh: Balance sheet should be as small as possible, and can expand when there's a crisis. Fed's Chair Warsh: I would like us to have a leaner, meaner balance sheet. FED CHAIR WARSH Q&A: DON'T WANT TO SHARE COMMUNICATIONS WITH TRUMP; WILL SHARE FUTURE NOTICES OF COMMUNICATIONS WITH TRUMP PER LAW; NO TRUMP PRESSURE ON MONPOL SO FAR #Warsh #FederalReserve #economy