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Lane: International inflation co-movements

From ecb.europa.eu

In my remarks today, I will discuss some analytical issues in understanding the drivers of international inflation co-movements. In particular, I will examine the individual contributions of common shocks, structural change and the evolution of monetary policy regimes to the observed high correlation of inflation across countries. At the same time, I will caution that correlated inflation paths are not inevitable. Some underlying forces may contribute to divergent inflation outcomes in the years to come. As illustrated in Chart 1, average rates of inflation have generally declined and exhibited lower volatility in ... (full story)

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