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- Bones commented Feb 7, 2024
Calculation - start with a seven-year moving seasonally adjusted average then build a price off that using a mix-adjusted methodology from 10% of the market's three-month mortgage approvals. answer = it go up
- Bones commented Feb 2, 2024
image image
- Bones commented Feb 2, 2024
it's being borrowed, the press is shut down
- Bones commented Feb 2, 2024
hot hot hot Bidens overspending by trillions
- Bones commented Jan 19, 2024
The south will be hit the hardest, where numbers don't add up, even the ONS actual data is saying 6% in London's small sample JUNE 2023, all you need is the price tracker app on Rightmove to see the level of actual drops your area on the frontline. ...
- Bones commented Jan 18, 2024
All cool Dajo, yes if you believe those indexes and players with skin the game all is well. I give three direct examples of what I see on the frontline My brother fell off his £1200 mortgage last year and it went up to £4k a month. My cousin is ...
- Bones commented Jan 17, 2024
Here is all you need to know, anyone rolling off 2021 rates will have a 25-50% increase in finance and I can guarantee with only 35% of the market owning their house outright the entire pyramid must fall at those borrowing costs. If inflation ...
- Bones commented Jan 17, 2024
I would be right in saying you think even if inflation is high rates won't go up?
- Bones commented Jan 17, 2024
FTSE is BEARISH
- Bones commented Jan 17, 2024
take it how you like, interest rates are going up (right now and much higher than last week) and house prices going down, ( see that when its reported) the data you're quoting is flawed or dated, but you never reference anything directly but ...
- Bones commented Jan 17, 2024
Don't forget WHO sets rates? Not the BoE but actual data.The free market price money.
- Bones commented Jan 17, 2024
If you forget all the other data, the cost of borrowing went up over 50% in a year. All you need do is see it feed through.
- Bones commented Jan 17, 2024
We agree on general inflation, but not housing.I already told you rates are going up, now you need to wait for the reversal headline in the press. I also provided a chart on the very foundation of IR which is going up off the TL, the only thing we ...
- Bones commented Jan 17, 2024
There is NO WAY house prices are going up, indexes are wrong! like Halifax 10% of the mortgage market, on a 7-year average. Because they are basically a long-term moving average and are reporting a year-ago price or last 2 month asking. Use maths ...
- Bones commented Jan 11, 2024
Right, you think it's debatable that QE affects house prices, QE= sending IR to 0%? anyway, call it a third of people own their house outright, those people do not set house prices. I keep it simple, the cost of money WILL bring prices down as the ...
- Bones commented Jan 11, 2024
It is more complex than the average that's why I keep it simple, Without QE, leverage simply couldn't go that high a ratio. QE is a wealth transference in the extreme. From cash to asset. Fewer houses sold means fewer houses affecting ...
- Bones commented Jan 10, 2024
on the demand side 2023
- Bones commented Jan 10, 2024
What about basic maths, you can't go 10x wage with normalised rates, as long as they don't print more money or introduce any crazy scheme, house prices will fall mathematically speaking. It has already been delayed with the 6-month holiday. I would ...