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Crypto Cycle Timing: How Investors Track Bull and Bear Markets
The most debated question in cryptocurrency markets in 2026 is whether Bitcoin’s four-year cycle still exists. The traditional framework, anchored to the halving event that cuts mining rewards every 210,000 blocks, has guided traders since 2012. But the arrival of spot Bitcoin ETFs holding over $102 billion in assets has introduced a structural buyer that does not operate on the halving clock. Fidelity’s February 2026 research acknowledges the cycle’s historical validity while flagging that “a significant portion of the bitcoin supply is now held by ETP investors and public companies.” This article examines ... (full story)