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Traders see the odds of a Fed rate cut by September at 100%
Traders are now 100% certain the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by September. There are now 93.3% odds that the Fed’s target range for the federal funds rate, its key rate, will be lowered by a quarter percentage point to 5% to 5.25% in September from the current 5.25% to 5.5%, according to the CME FedWatch tool. And there are 6.7% odds that the rate will be a half percentage point lower in September, accounting for some traders believing the Fed will cut at its meeting at the end of July and again in September, says the tool. Taken together, you get the 100% odds. The catalyst for the change in odds was ... (full story)
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